Shipping Confidence Index Hits A Four-year High

- Mar 30, 2018-

According to the latest shipping confidence survey by Ma Shiyun, by the end of February 2018, the shipping confidence index had reached a four-year high in the past three months. The European Regional Shipping Confidence Index is even close to the May 2008 Shipping Confidence Survey that initiated the highest ratings ever.glenflange


Research shows that the average shipping confidence index rose from 6.2 in November 2017 (up to a maximum of 10.0) to 6.4 at the end of February 2018. The shipowner confidence index was also at a four-year high, rising from 6.4 to 6.6. Ship managers’ confidence index rose from 6.1 to 6.4.


However, the ship’s lessee’s confidence index has recently shown an unstable performance, falling from 7.7 in November 2017 to 5.0, but it has increased compared to 4.7 in August 2017. At the same time, the ship broker’s confidence index fell from 6.3 to 6.1. butt welding pipe fittings


From a regional perspective, the shipping confidence index in the European region rose from 6.3 to 6.6, close to the May 2008 Shipping Confidence Survey that launched the highest rating ever (at that time, all respondents in all regions had an average confidence index of 6.8). In addition, the shipping confidence index in Asia is also rising, rising from 5.7 to 6.3, and North America from 5.8 to 5.9.


Among the respondents, it is expected that the proportion of the increase in financial expenses for the coming year will increase from 59% in the previous year to 64%, close to the highest value since May 2008 (66%). One interviewee stated that from next year, the shipping industry seems to benefit from the reduction of shipyard capacity, but the cost of capital for most market participants will rise. 90 deg. elbow


At the same time, 24% of respondents believe that demand trends are the main factors that are expected to affect performance in the next 12 months, followed by competition (19%) and financial costs (15%). Another interviewee stated that the characteristics of the shipping market are still large fluctuations in most industries and excess capacity, especially in the areas of bulk carriers and oil tankers, but there are still some optimistic trends in the market. Ma Shiyun said that the volatility of the shipping industry determines that optimistic industry participants should exercise caution.